Sea Level Rise to Be Higher & Faster Than Predicted by IPCC

Recent research suggests that global warming is associated sea level rise faster and higher than previously forecast. The poles experiencing disproportionate warming and an accelerated melting. The amount of this melt are highly dependent on the degree of sea level rise in coming centuries.

Melting proceeds at an unprecedented pace, which already exceeds the worst-case scenario in the IPCC 2007 report, and there is a growing scientific consensusthat the IPCC wildly underestimated the rate and extent of melting of glaciers.

In the coming centuries, anthropogenic warming is the main driver of rising sea levels, even if the emissions reduced and the amount of stabilizing atmospheric CO2 ppm on 450th When we burn fossil fuels, with all remaining stores will be about 10 meters above sea level than today.

While the largest contribution was to the rise in sea level during the twentieth century, the melting of theNon-polar glaciers (as defined in the Himalayas and the Andes), polar ice is expected to soon overtake them. Thermal expansion of the oceans will also play a role, but will pale in comparison to the amount of water currently trapped in Greenland and Antarctica (the sea will rise by 70 meters if) they all melt.

There are three important mechanisms for accelerating the loss of polar ice.

Glacial meltwater lubrication by (where melting freshwaterpenetrates through cracks in the glacier, which constitutes the foundation and as a lubricant, the glacier flow speed) is a mechanism. Initially, if that is the most important mechanism is probably not the primary factor that will lead to accelerated sea level rise.

A second mechanism is the dissolution of the floating ice shelves (like Antarctica's Larsen B) shelf. Although not always directly sea level (because they are already floating), they appear as an act"Cork" for the glacier behind them. If they disappear, accelerating ice flow significantly - this was observed at Larsen B, where glacier immediate acceleration (eight times normal speed) followed by its end.

The third (and probably most important) mechanism for the loss of ice has just been discovered - the melting of Antarctic ice by an upwelling of warm water from several hundred meters below the surface of the sea. This is the case in ever larger amounts to global warming. A warming poles has changed the patterns of wind around Antarctica, which in turn changing ocean currents and the line warm water towards vulnerable ice sheets.

This process is already underway, some ice shelves (in particular the detention of the massive ice shelf Pine Iceland Glacier), and could cause a rise in sea level by 3.3 meters in the next hundred years.

Summary: ice at the poles is melting much faster than predicted, and the majority of> Sea level, experts expect at least a meter of sea level rise until the year 2100.



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